Why 2020 is different to the 2008 global financial crisis?
Following the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent lockdown measures pursued by most nations, economic activity has plummeted. US jobless claims ( link ) and UK universal credit claims ( link ) have reached unprecedented levels. These claims measure how many employees lose their jobs. However, I argue below why this measure is not indicative of the length of the economic downturn. Why is this crisis different than the most recent sizeable downturn of 2008? Mainly for two reasons. Firstly, there is no credit crunch for the time being. Secondly, the target of the government expenditure is different. Beginning with the credit conditions, as opposed to 2008, banks still lend each other and if they don’t the central banks will offer ample liquidity. Therefore, banks can continue provide credit to the economy or at least they are not forced to completely stop as in 2007-2008 following the collapse of the Lehman Brothers. The basic function of credit is to transfer income from the futur